2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 50-54 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 50-54 in Canada

1. 326 of 2,830 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 11.52% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 450% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 47 of 3,197 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 279 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 367 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 704 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,991 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 450% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 326 of 1,221,277 women aged 50-54 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

326 ÷ 1,221,277 = 0.00027 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 706 deaths from Unknown Causes among 18,337,467 women aged 50-54 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

706 ÷ 18,337,467 = 0.00004 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,221,277 X 0.00004 = 47 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

326 – 47 = 279

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

326 ÷ 47 = 5.5037

This reveals 279 lives lost and is 550.37% of what we expected (an increase of 450%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 50-54 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

775 ÷ 9,098,249 = 0.00009 (5-yr CDR)

1,221,277(2022 pop) X 0.00009 = 104 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

326 – 104 = 222 or 222 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

326 ÷ 104 = 2.8045 or an increase of 180%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 50-54 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,319,526 X 0.00004 = 397 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1101 – 397 = 704 or 704 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,101 ÷ 397 = 2.1998 or an increase of 120%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 50-54 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.