2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 25-29 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in Canada

1. 470 of 1,524 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 30.84% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 597% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 53 of 1,109 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 417 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 415 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,227 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,499 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 597% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 470 of 1,403,901 men aged 25-29 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

470 ÷ 1,403,901 = 0.00033 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 643 deaths from Unknown Causes among 16,919,940 men aged 25-29 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

643 ÷ 16,919,940 = 0.00004 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,403,901 X 0.00004 = 53 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

470 – 53 = 417

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

470 ÷ 53 = 6.9743

This reveals 417 lives lost and is 697.43% of what we expected (an increase of 597%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,160 ÷ 9,202,730 = 0.00013 (5-yr CDR)

1,403,901(2022 pop) X 0.00013 = 177 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

470 – 177 = 293 or 293 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

470 ÷ 177 = 2.4607 or an increase of 146%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,606,631 X 0.00004 = 403 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1630 – 403 = 1,227 or 1,227 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,630 ÷ 403 = 3.2014 or an increase of 220%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.