2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 80-84 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 80-84 in Canada

1. 841 of 24,217 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.47% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 94% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 429 of 28,661 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 412 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 4,444 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 788 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 34,353 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 94% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 841 of 391,174 elderly men aged 80-84 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

841 ÷ 391,174 = 0.00215 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,198 deaths from Unknown Causes among 3,825,324 elderly men aged 80-84 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,198 ÷ 3,825,324 = 0.00110 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

391,174 X 0.00110 = 429 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

841 – 429 = 412

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

841 ÷ 429 = 1.9414

This reveals 412 lives lost and is 194.14% of what we expected (an increase of 94%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,999 ÷ 2,390,276 = 0.00125 (5-yr CDR)

391,174(2022 pop) X 0.00125 = 491 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

841 – 491 = 350 or 350 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

841 ÷ 491 = 1.7000 or an increase of 70%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,781,450 X 0.00110 = 3,052 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3840 – 3,052 = 788 or 788 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,840 ÷ 3,052 = 1.2467 or an increase of 25%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 80-84 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.