2023 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 0-4 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for pre-school boys aged 0-4 in Canada

1. 1,105 of 1,105 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,219 of 1,219 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 114 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 1,479 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-school boys aged 0-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,105 of 963,465 pre-school boys aged 0-4 living in Canada died from All Causes.

1,105 ÷ 963,465 = 0.00115 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 17,530 deaths from All Causes among 13,853,062 pre-school boys aged 0-4 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

17,530 ÷ 13,853,062 = 0.00127 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

963,465 X 0.00127 = 1,219 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,105 – 1,219 = -114

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,105 ÷ 1,219 = 0.8992

This reveals 114 lives saved and is 89.92% of what we expected (a decrease of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among pre-school boys aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,600 ÷ 7,874,738 = 0.00109 (5-yr CDR)

963,465(2023 pop) X 0.00109 = 1,052 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,105 – 1,052 = 53 or 53 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,105 ÷ 1,052 = 1.0407 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among pre-school boys aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

8,838,203 X 0.00127 = 11,184 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9705 – 11,184 = -1,479 or 1,479 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,705 ÷ 11,184 = 0.8609 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among pre-school boys aged 0-4 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.