2023 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 60-64 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Canada

1. 11,936 of 11,936 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 13,487 of 13,487 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,551 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 12,174 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 11,936 of 1,323,698 men aged 60-64 living in Canada died from All Causes.

11,936 ÷ 1,323,698 = 0.00902 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 128,819 deaths from All Causes among 12,643,403 men aged 60-64 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

128,819 ÷ 12,643,403 = 0.01019 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,323,698 X 0.01019 = 13,487 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

11,936 – 13,487 = -1,551

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

11,936 ÷ 13,487 = 0.8842

This reveals 1,551 lives saved and is 88.42% of what we expected (a decrease of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

88,202 ÷ 9,699,567 = 0.00909 (5-yr CDR)

1,323,698(2023 pop) X 0.00909 = 12,037 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11,936 – 12,037 = -101 or 101 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

11,936 ÷ 12,037 = 0.9905 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,023,265 X 0.01019 = 112,312 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

100138 – 112,312 = -12,174 or 12,174 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

100,138 ÷ 112,312 = 0.8907 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.