2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 0-4 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for pre-schoolers aged 0-4 in Canada

1. 376 of 1,954 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 19.24% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 254% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 87 of 2,202 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 289 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 248 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,242 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 2,582 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 254% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-schoolers aged 0-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 376 of 1,881,497 pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

376 ÷ 1,881,497 = 0.00020 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,255 deaths from Unknown Causes among 27,034,477 pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,255 ÷ 27,034,477 = 0.00005 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,881,497 X 0.00005 = 87 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

376 – 87 = 289

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

376 ÷ 87 = 3.5419

This reveals 289 lives lost and is 354.19% of what we expected (an increase of 254%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,667 ÷ 15,371,818 = 0.00011 (5-yr CDR)

1,881,497(2023 pop) X 0.00011 = 204 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

376 – 204 = 172 or 172 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

376 ÷ 204 = 1.6872 or an increase of 69%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,253,315 X 0.00005 = 801 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2043 – 801 = 1,242 or 1,242 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,043 ÷ 801 = 2.0987 or an increase of 110%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.