2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 15-19 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Canada

1. 213 of 807 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 26.39% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 240% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 40 of 930 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 173 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 123 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 635 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 1,173 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 240% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 213 of 2,233,251 teens aged 15-19 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

213 ÷ 2,233,251 = 0.00010 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 589 deaths from Unknown Causes among 32,697,132 teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

589 ÷ 32,697,132 = 0.00002 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,233,251 X 0.00002 = 40 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

213 – 40 = 173

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

213 ÷ 40 = 3.4046

This reveals 173 lives lost and is 340.46% of what we expected (an increase of 240%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

764 ÷ 16,771,226 = 0.00005 (5-yr CDR)

2,233,251(2023 pop) X 0.00005 = 102 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

213 – 102 = 111 or 111 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

213 ÷ 102 = 1.7168 or an increase of 72%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,004,477 X 0.00002 = 342 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

977 – 342 = 635 or 635 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

977 ÷ 342 = 1.8351 or an increase of 84%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.