2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in Canada

1. 804 of 4,228 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 19.02% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 424% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 127 of 3,563 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 677 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 665 excess All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 2,456 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 1,249 excess All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 424% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 804 of 2,674,762 people aged 40-44 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

804 ÷ 2,674,762 = 0.00030 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,824 deaths from Unknown Causes among 38,467,725 people aged 40-44 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,824 ÷ 38,467,725 = 0.00005 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,674,762 X 0.00005 = 127 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

804 – 127 = 677

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

804 ÷ 127 = 5.2352

This reveals 677 lives lost and is 523.52% of what we expected (an increase of 424%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,698 ÷ 19,392,875 = 0.00014 (5-yr CDR)

2,674,762(2023 pop) X 0.00014 = 372 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

804 – 372 = 432 or 432 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

804 ÷ 372 = 2.0157 or an increase of 102%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

22,067,637 X 0.00005 = 1,046 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3502 – 1,046 = 2,456 or 2,456 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,502 ÷ 1,046 = 2.7639 or an increase of 176%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.