2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 50-54 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for people aged 50-54 in Canada

1. 891 of 7,582 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 11.75% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 396% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 155 of 8,095 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 736 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 513 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 3,079 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 6,839 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 396% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 891 of 2,430,257 people aged 50-54 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

891 ÷ 2,430,257 = 0.00037 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,339 deaths from Unknown Causes among 36,589,414 people aged 50-54 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,339 ÷ 36,589,414 = 0.00006 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,430,257 X 0.00006 = 155 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

891 – 155 = 736

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

891 ÷ 155 = 4.9594

This reveals 736 lives lost and is 495.94% of what we expected (an increase of 396%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,658 ÷ 20,571,040 = 0.00018 (5-yr CDR)

2,430,257(2023 pop) X 0.00018 = 432 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

891 – 432 = 459 or 459 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

891 ÷ 432 = 1.9520 or an increase of 95%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

23,001,297 X 0.00006 = 1,470 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4549 – 1,470 = 3,079 or 3,079 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,549 ÷ 1,470 = 2.6753 or an increase of 168%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.