2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in Canada

1. 1,213 of 19,527 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.21% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 346% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 245 of 22,010 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 968 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 2,483 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 3,847 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 18,968 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 346% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,213 of 2,682,564 people aged 60-64 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,213 ÷ 2,682,564 = 0.00045 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,348 deaths from Unknown Causes among 25,687,451 people aged 60-64 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,348 ÷ 25,687,451 = 0.00009 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,682,564 X 0.00009 = 245 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,213 – 245 = 968

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,213 ÷ 245 = 4.4591

This reveals 968 lives lost and is 445.91% of what we expected (an increase of 346%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,682 ÷ 19,722,011 = 0.00024 (5-yr CDR)

2,682,564(2023 pop) X 0.00024 = 637 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,213 – 637 = 576 or 576 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,213 ÷ 637 = 1.8277 or an increase of 83%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

22,404,575 X 0.00009 = 2,048 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5895 – 2,048 = 3,847 or 3,847 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,895 ÷ 2,048 = 2.5947 or an increase of 159%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.