2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Canada

1. 1,152 of 26,580 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.33% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 248% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 307 of 31,003 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 845 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 4,423 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 3,486 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 33,679 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 248% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,152 of 2,381,063 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,152 ÷ 2,381,063 = 0.00048 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,632 deaths from Unknown Causes among 20,413,091 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,632 ÷ 20,413,091 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,381,063 X 0.00013 = 307 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,152 – 307 = 845

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,152 ÷ 307 = 3.4823

This reveals 845 lives lost and is 348.23% of what we expected (an increase of 248%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,796 ÷ 16,710,810 = 0.00029 (5-yr CDR)

2,381,063(2023 pop) X 0.00029 = 683 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,152 – 683 = 469 or 469 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,152 ÷ 683 = 1.6290 or an increase of 63%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,091,873 X 0.00013 = 2,462 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5948 – 2,462 = 3,486 or 3,486 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,948 ÷ 2,462 = 2.2424 or an increase of 124%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.