2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80-84 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80-84 in Canada

1. 1,443 of 45,094 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.20% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 58% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 903 of 53,826 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 540 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 8,732 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 2,012 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 58,008 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 58% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,443 of 918,411 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,443 ÷ 918,411 = 0.00157 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 9,413 deaths from Unknown Causes among 9,577,387 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,413 ÷ 9,577,387 = 0.00098 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

918,411 X 0.00098 = 903 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,443 – 903 = 540

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,443 ÷ 903 = 1.5825

This reveals 540 lives lost and is 158.25% of what we expected (an increase of 58%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

7,682 ÷ 6,318,542 = 0.00122 (5-yr CDR)

918,411(2023 pop) X 0.00122 = 1,117 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,443 – 1,117 = 326 or 326 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,443 ÷ 1,117 = 1.2818 or an increase of 28%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,236,953 X 0.00098 = 7,113 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9125 – 7,113 = 2,012 or 2,012 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,125 ÷ 7,113 = 1.2700 or an increase of 27%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.