2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 20-24 in Canada

1. 262 of 991 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 26.44% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 311% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 50 of 1,087 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 212 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 96 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,060 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 174 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 311% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 262 of 1,366,446 men aged 20-24 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

262 ÷ 1,366,446 = 0.00019 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 636 deaths from Unknown Causes among 17,332,503 men aged 20-24 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

636 ÷ 17,332,503 = 0.00004 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,366,446 X 0.00004 = 50 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

262 – 50 = 212

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

262 ÷ 50 = 4.1063

This reveals 212 lives lost and is 410.63% of what we expected (an increase of 311%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,222 ÷ 10,185,941 = 0.00012 (5-yr CDR)

1,366,446(2023 pop) X 0.00012 = 164 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

262 – 164 = 98 or 98 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

262 ÷ 164 = 1.4753 or an increase of 48%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,552,387 X 0.00004 = 424 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1484 – 424 = 1,060 or 1,060 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,484 ÷ 424 = 2.7511 or an increase of 175%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.