2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Canada

1. 495 of 2,109 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 23.47% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 525% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 64 of 1,339 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 431 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 770 excess All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,817 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 4,043 excess All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 525% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 495 of 1,525,198 men aged 30-34 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

495 ÷ 1,525,198 = 0.00032 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 715 deaths from Unknown Causes among 17,037,061 men aged 30-34 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

715 ÷ 17,037,061 = 0.00004 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,525,198 X 0.00004 = 64 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

495 – 64 = 431

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

495 ÷ 64 = 6.2452

This reveals 431 lives lost and is 624.52% of what we expected (an increase of 525%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,826 ÷ 10,491,711 = 0.00017 (5-yr CDR)

1,525,198(2023 pop) X 0.00017 = 265 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

495 – 265 = 230 or 230 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

495 ÷ 265 = 1.7634 or an increase of 76%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

12,016,909 X 0.00004 = 504 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2321 – 504 = 1,817 or 1,817 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,321 ÷ 504 = 3.7167 or an increase of 272%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.