2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 70-74 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 70-74 in Canada

1. 733 of 19,227 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.81% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 195% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 240 of 24,232 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 493 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 5,005 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,911 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 36,241 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 195% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 733 of 913,806 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

733 ÷ 913,806 = 0.00080 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,020 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,700,958 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,020 ÷ 7,700,958 = 0.00026 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

913,806 X 0.00026 = 240 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

733 – 240 = 493

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

733 ÷ 240 = 2.9457

This reveals 493 lives lost and is 294.57% of what we expected (an increase of 195%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,072 ÷ 6,304,979 = 0.00049 (5-yr CDR)

913,806(2023 pop) X 0.00049 = 445 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

733 – 445 = 288 or 288 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

733 ÷ 445 = 1.6132 or an increase of 61%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,218,785 X 0.00026 = 1,894 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3805 – 1,894 = 1,911 or 1,911 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,805 ÷ 1,894 = 1.9357 or an increase of 94%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.