2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in Canada

1. 714 of 23,007 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.10% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 102% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 347 of 29,987 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 367 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 6,980 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,477 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 43,532 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 102% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 714 of 686,160 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

714 ÷ 686,160 = 0.00104 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,952 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,844,685 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,952 ÷ 5,844,685 = 0.00051 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

686,160 X 0.00051 = 347 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

714 – 347 = 367

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

714 ÷ 347 = 2.0202

This reveals 367 lives lost and is 202.02% of what we expected (an increase of 102%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,275 ÷ 4,287,496 = 0.00076 (5-yr CDR)

686,160(2023 pop) X 0.00076 = 524 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

714 – 524 = 190 or 190 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

714 ÷ 524 = 1.3447 or an increase of 34%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,973,656 X 0.00051 = 2,512 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3989 – 2,512 = 1,477 or 1,477 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,989 ÷ 2,512 = 1.5571 or an increase of 56%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.