2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Nova Scotia

1. 999 of 999 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,077 of 1,077 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 78 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 711 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 999 of 70,292 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

999 ÷ 70,292 = 0.01421 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,088 deaths from All Causes among 658,663 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,088 ÷ 658,663 = 0.01532 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

70,292 X 0.01532 = 1,077 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

999 – 1,077 = -78

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

999 ÷ 1,077 = 0.9273

This reveals 78 lives saved and is 92.73% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,286 ÷ 451,805 = 0.01391 (5-yr CDR)

70,292(2022 pop) X 0.01391 = 978 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

999 – 978 = 21 or 21 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

999 ÷ 978 = 1.0208 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

522,097 X 0.01532 = 7,996 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7285 – 7,996 = -711 or 711 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,285 ÷ 7,996 = 0.9104 or a decrease of 9%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.