2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 90+ | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 90+ in Nova Scotia

1. 1,255 of 1,255 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,048 of 1,048 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 207 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,186 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 90+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,255 of 6,255 elderly women aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

1,255 ÷ 6,255 = 0.20064 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 11,941 deaths from All Causes among 71,249 elderly women aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

11,941 ÷ 71,249 = 0.16760 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

6,255 X 0.16760 = 1,048 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,255 – 1,048 = 207

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,255 ÷ 1,048 = 1.1971

This reveals 207 lives lost and is 119.71% of what we expected (an increase of 20%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,132 ÷ 42,680 = 0.19053 (5-yr CDR)

6,255(2022 pop) X 0.19053 = 1,192 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,255 – 1,192 = 63 or 63 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,255 ÷ 1,192 = 1.0530 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

48,935 X 0.16760 = 8,201 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9387 – 8,201 = 1,186 or 1,186 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,387 ÷ 8,201 = 1.1445 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.