2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 70-74 | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 70-74 in Nova Scotia

1. 791 of 791 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 874 of 874 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 83 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,061 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 791 of 28,195 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

791 ÷ 28,195 = 0.02805 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 7,041 deaths from All Causes among 227,101 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

7,041 ÷ 227,101 = 0.03100 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

28,195 X 0.03100 = 874 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

791 – 874 = -83

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

791 ÷ 874 = 0.9046

This reveals 83 lives saved and is 90.46% of what we expected (a decrease of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,386 ÷ 172,995 = 0.02535 (5-yr CDR)

28,195(2022 pop) X 0.02535 = 715 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

791 – 715 = 76 or 76 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

791 ÷ 715 = 1.1061 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

201,190 X 0.03100 = 6,238 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5177 – 6,238 = -1,061 or 1,061 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,177 ÷ 6,238 = 0.8297 or a decrease of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.