2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 90+ | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 90+ in Nova Scotia

1. 583 of 583 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 732 of 732 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 149 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 977 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 90+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 583 of 2,677 elderly men aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

583 ÷ 2,677 = 0.21778 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,565 deaths from All Causes among 24,011 elderly men aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,565 ÷ 24,011 = 0.27342 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,677 X 0.27342 = 732 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

583 – 732 = -149

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

583 ÷ 732 = 0.7965

This reveals 149 lives saved and is 79.65% of what we expected (a decrease of 20%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,668 ÷ 16,445 = 0.22305 (5-yr CDR)

2,677(2022 pop) X 0.22305 = 597 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

583 – 597 = -14 or 14 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

583 ÷ 597 = 0.9763 or a decrease of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,122 X 0.27342 = 5,228 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4251 – 5,228 = -977 or 977 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,251 ÷ 5,228 = 0.8131 or a decrease of 19%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 90+ living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.