2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Boys – Ages 10-14 | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for boys aged 10-14 in Nova Scotia

1. 1 of 5,824 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 0.02% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 82% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1 of 2,651 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 0 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 3,173 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 19,886 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 82% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many boys aged 10-14 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1 of 500,620 boys aged 10-14 living in Nova Scotia died from Unknown Causes.

1 ÷ 500,620 = 0.00000 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1 deaths from Unknown Causes among 825,164 boys aged 10-14 living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1 ÷ 825,164 = 0.00000 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

500,620 X 0.00000 = 1 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1 – 1 = 0

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1 ÷ 1 = 0.1782

This reveals 0 lives lost and is 17.82% of what we expected (an increase of 82%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5 ÷ 3,292,830 = 0.00000 (5-yr CDR)

500,620(2022 pop) X 0.00000 = 1 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1 – 1 = 0 or 0 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1 ÷ 1 = 0.1734 or an increase of 83%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,793,450 X 0.00000 = 5 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6 – 5 = 1 or 1 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6 ÷ 5 = 0.1411 or an increase of 86%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.