2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Nova Scotia

1. 268 of 5,824 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.60% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 216% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 80 of 4,493 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 188 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,331 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 367 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 5,927 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 216% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 268 of 500,620 men of all ages living in Nova Scotia died from Unknown Causes.

268 ÷ 500,620 = 0.00054 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,022 deaths from Unknown Causes among 6,421,309 men of all ages living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,022 ÷ 6,421,309 = 0.00016 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

500,620 X 0.00016 = 80 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

268 – 80 = 188

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

268 ÷ 80 = 3.1647

This reveals 188 lives lost and is 316.47% of what we expected (an increase of 216%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

703 ÷ 3,292,830 = 0.00021 (5-yr CDR)

500,620(2022 pop) X 0.00021 = 107 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

268 – 107 = 161 or 161 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

268 ÷ 107 = 2.3953 or an increase of 140%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,793,450 X 0.00016 = 604 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

971 – 604 = 367 or 367 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

971 ÷ 604 = 1.5132 or an increase of 51%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.