2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Ontario

1. 241 of 865 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 27.86% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 502% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 29 of 657 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 212 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 208 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 585 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,165 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 502% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 241 of 1,103,727 people aged 30-34 living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

241 ÷ 1,103,727 = 0.00022 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 346 deaths from Unknown Causes among 13,172,189 people aged 30-34 living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

346 ÷ 13,172,189 = 0.00003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,103,727 X 0.00003 = 29 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

241 – 29 = 212

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

241 ÷ 29 = 6.0206

This reveals 212 lives lost and is 602.06% of what we expected (an increase of 502%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

554 ÷ 6,877,984 = 0.00008 (5-yr CDR)

1,103,727(2022 pop) X 0.00008 = 89 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

241 – 89 = 152 or 152 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

241 ÷ 89 = 2.4115 or an increase of 141%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,981,711 X 0.00003 = 210 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

795 – 210 = 585 or 585 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

795 ÷ 210 = 2.7463 or an increase of 175%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.