2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – All Ages | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Ontario

1. 3,084 of 58,889 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 5.24% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 173% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,054 of 50,872 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,030 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 8,017 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 5,534 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 33,151 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 173% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,084 of 7,635,644 women of all ages living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

3,084 ÷ 7,635,644 = 0.00040 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,372 deaths from Unknown Causes among 96,911,581 women of all ages living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,372 ÷ 96,911,581 = 0.00014 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,635,644 X 0.00014 = 1,054 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,084 – 1,054 = 2,030

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,084 ÷ 1,054 = 2.7294

This reveals 2,030 lives lost and is 272.94% of what we expected (an increase of 173%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

10,497 ÷ 50,682,761 = 0.00021 (5-yr CDR)

7,635,644(2022 pop) X 0.00021 = 1,581 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,084 – 1,581 = 1,503 or 1,503 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,084 ÷ 1,581 = 1.8603 or an increase of 86%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

58,318,405 X 0.00014 = 8,047 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13581 – 8,047 = 5,534 or 5,534 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

13,581 ÷ 8,047 = 1.5737 or an increase of 57%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.