2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 20-24 in Ontario

1. 126 of 376 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 33.51% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 510% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 15 of 348 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 111 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 28 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 311 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 152 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 510% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 126 of 552,722 men aged 20-24 living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

126 ÷ 552,722 = 0.00023 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 182 deaths from Unknown Causes among 6,647,970 men aged 20-24 living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

182 ÷ 6,647,970 = 0.00003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

552,722 X 0.00003 = 15 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

126 – 15 = 111

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

126 ÷ 15 = 6.0990

This reveals 111 lives lost and is 609.90% of what we expected (an increase of 510%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

300 ÷ 3,637,726 = 0.00008 (5-yr CDR)

552,722(2022 pop) X 0.00008 = 46 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

126 – 46 = 80 or 80 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

126 ÷ 46 = 2.4653 or an increase of 147%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,190,448 X 0.00003 = 115 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

426 – 115 = 311 or 311 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

426 ÷ 115 = 2.7199 or an increase of 172%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.