2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Quebec
119 of 119 total deaths were from All Causes
99.99% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is down 37% compared to Old Normal rates.
183 of 183 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
64 fewer deaths from All Causes in 2022.
456 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 37% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 119 of 443,354 teens aged 15-19 living in Quebec died from All Causes.
119 ÷ 443,354 = 0.00027 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Quebec teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
477,441
244
244
|2001
467,505
254
254
|2002
461,601
234
234
|2003
457,606
245
245
|2004
457,811
242
242
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
465,335
227
227
|2006
477,918
206
206
|2007
494,457
196
196
|2008
506,962
200
200
|2009
511,453
176
176
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
506,634
176
176
|2011
495,405
154
154
|2012
479,599
143
143
|2013
464,303
144
144
|2014
449,406
126
126
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
7,173,436
2,967
2,967
The table shows there were a total of 2,967 deaths from All Causes among 7,173,436 teens aged 15-19 living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
2,967 ÷ 7,173,436 = 0.00041 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
443,354 X 0.00041 = 183 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
119 – 183 = -64
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
119 ÷ 183 = 0.6336
This reveals 64 lives saved and is 63.36% of what we expected (a decrease of 37%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
423,143
133
133
|2018
420,956
122
122
|2019
425,037
107
107
|2020
427,907
108
108
|2021
429,721
118
118
Total:
2,995,325
847
847
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
847 ÷ 2,995,325 = 0.00028 (5-yr CDR)
443,354(2022 pop) X 0.00028 = 125 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
119 – 125 = -6 or 6 lives saved
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
119 ÷ 125 = 0.9168 or a decrease of 8%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
3,438,679 X 0.00041 = 1,422 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
966 – 1,422 = -456 or 456 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
966 ÷ 1,422 = 0.6632 or a decrease of 34%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
438,576
130
130
|2016
429,985
129
129
|2017
423,143
133
133
|2018
420,956
122
122
|2019
425,037
107
107
|2020
427,907
108
108
|2021
429,721
118
118
|2022
443,354
119
119
Total:
3,438,679
966
966
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
78,084 of the 78,084 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Quebec in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 8,673,184 individuals would have predicted 64,859 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 13,225 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Quebec in 2022.
To date, 53,525 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Quebec.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 13,225 lives and the 8-year loss of 53,525 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 417 of the 78,084 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 0-4, accounting for 100.00% of the 417 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 424,942 pre-schoolers aged 0-4, would have predicted 473 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 56 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 3,299 deaths from All Causes represent 590 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 56 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 3299 lives saved from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 417 / 78,084
The next 47 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.98% of the 47 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 467,892 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 44 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 275 deaths from All Causes represent 67 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 more and the 8 year total of 275 more individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 464 / 78,084
The next 60 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.98% of the 60 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 479,159 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 62 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 346 deaths from All Causes represent 105 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 fewer and the 8 year total of 346 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 524 / 78,084
The next 119 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.99% of the 119 total deaths in this group.
This is down 37% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 443,354 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 183 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 64 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 966 deaths from All Causes represent 456 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 64 fewer and the 8 year total of 966 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 643 / 78,084
The next 165 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.99% of the 165 total deaths in this group.
This is down 35% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 484,411 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 249 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 84 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 1,560 deaths from All Causes represent 516 lives saved among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 84 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,560 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 808 / 78,084
The next 276 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 276 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 554,253 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 297 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 21 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 2,011 deaths from All Causes represent 327 lives saved among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 21 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,011 fewer individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,084 / 78,084
The next 347 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 347 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 579,370 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 368 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 21 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 2,376 deaths from All Causes represent 399 lives saved among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 21 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,376 fewer individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,431 / 78,084
The next 480 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 480 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 565,297 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 509 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 29 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 3,279 deaths from All Causes represent 835 lives saved among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 29 fewer and the 8 year total of 3,279 fewer individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,911 / 78,084
The next 659 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 659 total deaths in this group.
This is down 18% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 596,337 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 798 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 139 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 4,610 deaths from All Causes represent 1,340 lives saved among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 139 fewer and the 8 year total of 4,610 fewer individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,570 / 78,084
The next 870 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 870 total deaths in this group.
This is down 28% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 541,098 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 1,201 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 331 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 6,843 deaths from All Causes represent 2,524 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 331 fewer and the 8 year total of 6,843 fewer individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,440 / 78,084
The next 1,391 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,391 total deaths in this group.
This is down 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 520,698 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 1,803 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 412 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 12,553 deaths from All Causes represent 3,416 lives saved among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 412 fewer and the 8 year total of 12,553 fewer individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,831 / 78,084
The next 2,613 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,613 total deaths in this group.
This is down 21% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 598,835 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 3,306 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 693 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 22,605 deaths from All Causes represent 5,286 lives saved among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 693 fewer and the 8 year total of 22,605 fewer individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,444 / 78,084
The next 4,559 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,559 total deaths in this group.
This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 629,255 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 5,444 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 885 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 34,177 deaths from All Causes represent 7,122 lives saved among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 885 fewer and the 8 year total of 34,177 fewer individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 12,003 / 78,084
The next 6,548 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 6,548 total deaths in this group.
This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 556,097 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 7,606 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,058 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 46,736 deaths from All Causes represent 8,898 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,058 fewer and the 8 year total of 46,736 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 18,551 / 78,084
The next 8,436 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 8,436 total deaths in this group.
This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 454,301 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 10,093 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,657 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 60,271 deaths from All Causes represent 12,607 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,657 fewer and the 8 year total of 60,271 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 26,987 / 78,084
The next 10,964 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 10,964 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 346,841 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 12,621 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,657 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 71,078 deaths from All Causes represent 13,358 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,657 fewer and the 8 year total of 71,078 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 37,951 / 78,084
The next 11,549 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 11,549 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 217,454 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 13,148 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,599 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 82,099 deaths from All Causes represent 11,587 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,599 fewer and the 8 year total of 82,099 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 49,500 / 78,084
The next 11,549 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 11,549 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 217,454 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 13,148 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,599 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 82,099 deaths from All Causes represent 11,587 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,599 fewer and the 8 year total of 82,099 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 61,049 / 78,084
The next 12,472 of the 78,084 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 85-89, accounting for 100.00% of the 12,472 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 128,356 elderly men and women aged 85-89, would have predicted 13,045 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 573 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 93,407 deaths from All Causes represent 7,469 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 85-89 over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 573 fewer and the 8 year total of 93,407 fewer individual aged 85-89 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 73,521 / 78,084
The next 0 of the 78,084 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 90+, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 0 would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Quebec in 2022.
Overall, 0 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 90+ over the first 8 years of Quebec's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 0 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.