2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 70-74 | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 70-74 in Saskatchewan

1. 585 of 585 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 733 of 733 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 148 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 941 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 585 of 24,731 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan died from All Causes.

585 ÷ 24,731 = 0.02365 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,709 deaths from All Causes among 226,440 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,709 ÷ 226,440 = 0.02963 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

24,731 X 0.02963 = 733 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

585 – 733 = -148

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

585 ÷ 733 = 0.7981

This reveals 148 lives saved and is 79.81% of what we expected (a decrease of 20%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,484 ÷ 144,375 = 0.02413 (5-yr CDR)

24,731(2022 pop) X 0.02413 = 597 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

585 – 597 = -12 or 12 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

585 ÷ 597 = 0.9798 or a decrease of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

169,106 X 0.02963 = 5,010 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4069 – 5,010 = -941 or 941 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,069 ÷ 5,010 = 0.8119 or a decrease of 19%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.