2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in California
138,098 of 138,098 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
129,396 of 129,396 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
8,702 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
59,343 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80+ | California, United-states
Populalation – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80+ – [2000-2022] | California, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 138,098 of 714,480 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in California died from All Causes.
138,098 ÷ 714,480 = 0.19328 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) California elderly men and women aged 80+ All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
502,831
96,540
96,540
|2001
531,112
99,325
99,325
|2002
554,814
100,882
100,882
|2003
573,411
104,525
104,525
|2004
590,328
101,631
101,631
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
601,355
105,138
105,138
|2006
600,752
106,546
106,546
|2007
601,524
104,776
104,776
|2008
602,079
107,256
107,256
|2009
599,827
105,874
105,874
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
603,239
109,430
109,430
|2011
610,882
112,976
112,976
|2012
613,808
113,627
113,627
|2013
617,438
116,599
116,599
|2014
623,036
113,386
113,386
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
8,826,436
1,598,511
1,598,511
The table shows there were a total of 1,598,511 deaths from All Causes among 8,826,436 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
1,598,511 ÷ 8,826,436 = 0.18110 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
714,480 X 0.18110 = 129,396 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
138,098 – 129,396 = 8,702
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
138,098 ÷ 129,396 = 1.0672
This reveals 8,702 lives lost and is 106.72% of what we expected (an increase of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
647,135
124,163
124,163
|2018
663,308
123,340
123,340
|2019
683,918
123,293
123,293
|2020
698,039
140,343
140,343
|2021
675,577
138,003
138,003
Total:
4,634,678
890,004
890,004
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
890,004 ÷ 4,634,678 = 0.19203 (5-yr CDR)
714,480(2022 pop) X 0.19203 = 137,203 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
138,098 – 137,203 = 895 or 895 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
138,098 ÷ 137,203 = 1.0065 or an increase of 1%
for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
5,349,158 X 0.18110 = 968,759 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
1028102 – 968,759 = 59,343 or 59,343 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
1,028,102 ÷ 968,759 = 1.0612 or an increase of 6%
in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
629,663
120,377
120,377
|2016
637,038
120,485
120,485
|2017
647,135
124,163
124,163
|2018
663,308
123,340
123,340
|2019
683,918
123,293
123,293
|2020
698,039
140,343
140,343
|2021
675,577
138,003
138,003
|2022
714,480
138,098
138,098
Total:
5,349,158
1,028,102
1,028,102
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
313,148 of the 313,148 deaths among individuals of all ages living in California in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 38,289,915 individuals would have predicted 253,208 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 59,940 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in 2022.
To date, 252,217 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in California.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 59,940 lives and the 8-year loss of 252,217 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 1,697 of the 313,148 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,697 total deaths in this group.
This is down 23% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 425,149 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 2,212 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 515 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in California in 2022.
Overall, 15,039 deaths from All Causes represent 4,335 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 515 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 15039 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,697 / 313,148
The next 336 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 100.00% of the 336 total deaths in this group.
This is down 21% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 1,702,615 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 410 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 74 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 2,685 deaths from All Causes represent 982 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 74 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,685 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,033 / 313,148
The next 226 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 100.00% of the 226 total deaths in this group.
This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,358,168 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 274 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 48 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 1,782 deaths from All Causes represent 519 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 48 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,782 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,259 / 313,148
The next 312 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 100.00% of the 312 total deaths in this group.
This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,476,125 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 350 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 38 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 2,372 deaths from All Causes represent 486 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 38 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,372 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,571 / 313,148
The next 1,131 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,131 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,564,615 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 1,262 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 131 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 8,705 deaths from All Causes represent 1,369 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 131 fewer and the 8 year total of 8,705 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,702 / 313,148
The next 2,233 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,233 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,651,334 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 2,013 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 220 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 17,430 deaths from All Causes represent 1,021 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 220 more and the 8 year total of 17,430 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,935 / 313,148
The next 3,399 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,399 total deaths in this group.
This is up 62% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,757,767 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 2,065 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,334 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 23,064 deaths from All Causes represent 5,068 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,334 more and the 8 year total of 23,064 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,334 / 313,148
The next 4,568 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,568 total deaths in this group.
This is up 74% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,989,584 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 2,594 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,974 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 27,240 deaths from All Causes represent 6,889 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,974 more and the 8 year total of 27,240 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 13,902 / 313,148
The next 4,916 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,916 total deaths in this group.
This is up 48% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,783,889 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 3,294 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,622 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 31,798 deaths from All Causes represent 5,887 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,622 more and the 8 year total of 31,798 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 18,818 / 313,148
The next 5,856 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 5,856 total deaths in this group.
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,606,759 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 4,738 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,118 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 38,016 deaths from All Causes represent 1,101 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,118 more and the 8 year total of 38,016 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 24,674 / 313,148
The next 7,176 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 7,176 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,398,337 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 6,894 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 282 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 54,014 deaths from All Causes represent 3,999 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 282 more and the 8 year total of 54,014 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 31,850 / 313,148
The next 10,435 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 10,435 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,471,944 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 10,728 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 293 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 83,178 deaths from All Causes represent 4,419 lives saved among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 293 fewer and the 8 year total of 83,178 fewer individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 42,285 / 313,148
The next 15,243 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 15,243 total deaths in this group.
This is up 0% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,385,680 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 15,176 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 67 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 125,371 deaths from All Causes represent 1,102 lives saved among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 67 more and the 8 year total of 125,371 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 57,528 / 313,148
The next 22,285 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 22,285 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 2,301,629 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 21,562 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 723 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 168,368 deaths from All Causes represent 217 lives saved among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 723 more and the 8 year total of 168,368 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 79,813 / 313,148
The next 27,203 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 27,203 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 1,974,129 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 27,438 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 235 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 197,395 deaths from All Causes represent 11,010 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 235 fewer and the 8 year total of 197,395 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 107,016 / 313,148
The next 31,933 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 31,933 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 1,586,759 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 34,607 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2,674 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 223,687 deaths from All Causes represent 27,746 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2,674 fewer and the 8 year total of 223,687 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 138,949 / 313,148
The next 36,101 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 36,101 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 1,140,952 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 40,297 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 4,196 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 246,079 deaths from All Causes represent 34,189 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 4,196 fewer and the 8 year total of 246,079 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 175,050 / 313,148
The next 38,782 of the 313,148 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 38,782 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 714,480 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 42,020 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3,238 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in California in 2022.
Overall, 280,387 deaths from All Causes represent 34,206 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3,238 fewer and the 8 year total of 280,387 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 213,832 / 313,148
The next 138,098 of the 313,148 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 138,098 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 714,480 would have predicted 129,396 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 8,702 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in California in 2022.
Overall, 1,028,102 deaths from All Causes represent 59,343 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of California's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 1,028,102 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 351,930 / 313,148*
* California does not report the deaths of 38,782 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Elderly Men And Women - Aged 80+ - [2000-2022] | California, United-states](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/united-states/california/2022/all/Both Sexes/80+-pop.png)
