2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 25-29 | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 25-29 in California

1. 813 of 813 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 46% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 544 of 544 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 269 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 973 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 46% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 813 of 1,337,669 women aged 25-29 living in California died from All Causes.

813 ÷ 1,337,669 = 0.00061 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 7,927 deaths from All Causes among 19,488,646 women aged 25-29 living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

7,927 ÷ 19,488,646 = 0.00041 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,337,669 X 0.00041 = 544 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

813 – 544 = 269

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

813 ÷ 544 = 1.4584

This reveals 269 lives lost and is 145.84% of what we expected (an increase of 46%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,892 ÷ 10,295,519 = 0.00048 (5-yr CDR)

1,337,669(2022 pop) X 0.00048 = 636 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

813 – 636 = 177 or 177 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

813 ÷ 636 = 1.2527 or an increase of 25%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,633,188 X 0.00041 = 4,732 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5705 – 4,732 = 973 or 973 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,705 ÷ 4,732 = 1.1767 or an increase of 18%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.