2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in California

1. 145,909 of 145,909 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 124,354 of 124,354 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 21,555 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 76,428 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 145,909 of 19,022,343 women of all ages living in California died from All Causes.

145,909 ÷ 19,022,343 = 0.00767 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,757,787 deaths from All Causes among 268,887,843 women of all ages living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,757,787 ÷ 268,887,843 = 0.00654 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

19,022,343 X 0.00654 = 124,354 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

145,909 – 124,354 = 21,555

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

145,909 ÷ 124,354 = 1.1715

This reveals 21,555 lives lost and is 117.15% of what we expected (an increase of 17%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

939,456 ÷ 135,314,260 = 0.00694 (5-yr CDR)

19,022,343(2022 pop) X 0.00694 = 132,068 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

145,909 – 132,068 = 13,841 or 13,841 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

145,909 ÷ 132,068 = 1.1032 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

154,336,603 X 0.00654 = 1,008,937 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1085365 – 1,008,937 = 76,428 or 76,428 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,085,365 ÷ 1,008,937 = 1.0741 or an increase of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.