2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in California

1. 40,867 of 313,148 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 13.05% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 37,501 of 253,208 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 3,366 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 59,940 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 4,497 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 252,217 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of California’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 8% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 40,867 of 38,289,915 individuals of all ages living in California died from Unknown Causes.

40,867 ÷ 38,289,915 = 0.00107 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 526,583 deaths from Unknown Causes among 537,661,242 individuals of all ages living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

526,583 ÷ 537,661,242 = 0.00098 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

38,289,915 X 0.00098 = 37,501 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

40,867 – 37,501 = 3,366

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

40,867 ÷ 37,501 = 1.0787

This reveals 3,366 lives lost and is 107.87% of what we expected (an increase of 8%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

266,074 ÷ 270,516,573 = 0.00098 (5-yr CDR)

38,289,915(2022 pop) X 0.00098 = 37,661 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

40,867 – 37,661 = 3,206 or 3,206 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

40,867 ÷ 37,661 = 1.0742 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

308,806,488 X 0.00098 = 302,444 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

306941 – 302,444 = 4,497 or 4,497 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

306,941 ÷ 302,444 = 1.0046 or an increase of 0%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.