2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in California

1. 21,887 of 167,239 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 13.09% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 20,034 of 128,873 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,853 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 38,366 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 3,663 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 175,774 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of California’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 8% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 21,887 of 19,267,572 men of all ages living in California died from Unknown Causes.

21,887 ÷ 19,267,572 = 0.00114 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 279,470 deaths from Unknown Causes among 268,773,399 men of all ages living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

279,470 ÷ 268,773,399 = 0.00104 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

19,267,572 X 0.00104 = 20,034 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

21,887 – 20,034 = 1,853

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

21,887 ÷ 20,034 = 1.0821

This reveals 1,853 lives lost and is 108.21% of what we expected (an increase of 8%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

142,393 ÷ 135,202,313 = 0.00105 (5-yr CDR)

19,267,572(2022 pop) X 0.00105 = 20,292 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

21,887 – 20,292 = 1,595 or 1,595 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

21,887 ÷ 20,292 = 1.0684 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

154,469,885 X 0.00104 = 160,617 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

164280 – 160,617 = 3,663 or 3,663 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

164,280 ÷ 160,617 = 1.0131 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.