2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in District Of Columbia

1. 114 of 143 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 79.71% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 40% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 189 of 195 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 75 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 52 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 567 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 549 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of District Of Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 40% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 114 of 48,605 people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

114 ÷ 48,605 = 0.00235 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 2,337 deaths from Unknown Causes among 600,914 people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,337 ÷ 600,914 = 0.00389 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

48,605 X 0.00389 = 189 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

114 – 189 = -75

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

114 ÷ 189 = 0.6015

This reveals 75 lives saved and is 60.15% of what we expected (a decrease of 40%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

710 ÷ 309,137 = 0.00230 (5-yr CDR)

48,605(2022 pop) X 0.00230 = 112 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

114 – 112 = 2 or 2 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

114 ÷ 112 = 1.0168 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

357,742 X 0.00389 = 1,391 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

824 – 1,391 = -567 or 567 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

824 ÷ 1,391 = 0.5907 or a decrease of 41%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.