2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – Ages 80+ | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 80+ in District Of Columbia

1. 762 of 1,081 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 70.49% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 657 of 1,166 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 105 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 85 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 996 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 199 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of District Of Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 762 of 6,321 elderly women aged 80+ living in District Of Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

762 ÷ 6,321 = 0.12055 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,074 deaths from Unknown Causes among 96,869 elderly women aged 80+ living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,074 ÷ 96,869 = 0.10400 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

6,321 X 0.10400 = 657 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

762 – 657 = 105

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

762 ÷ 657 = 1.1591

This reveals 105 lives lost and is 115.91% of what we expected (an increase of 16%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 80+ living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,182 ÷ 41,257 = 0.12560 (5-yr CDR)

6,321(2022 pop) X 0.12560 = 794 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

762 – 794 = -32 or 32 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

762 ÷ 794 = 0.9597 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 80+ living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

47,578 X 0.10400 = 4,948 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5944 – 4,948 = 996 or 996 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,944 ÷ 4,948 = 1.2012 or an increase of 20%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 80+ living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.