2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Florida

1. 1,928 of 1,928 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 49% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,284 of 1,284 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 644 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,489 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 49% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,928 of 743,092 men aged 30-34 living in Florida died from All Causes.

1,928 ÷ 743,092 = 0.00259 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 14,592 deaths from All Causes among 8,446,992 men aged 30-34 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

14,592 ÷ 8,446,992 = 0.00173 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

743,092 X 0.00173 = 1,284 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,928 – 1,284 = 644

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,928 ÷ 1,284 = 1.4933

This reveals 644 lives lost and is 149.33% of what we expected (an increase of 49%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

11,102 ÷ 4,780,140 = 0.00232 (5-yr CDR)

743,092(2022 pop) X 0.00232 = 1,726 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,928 – 1,726 = 202 or 202 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,928 ÷ 1,726 = 1.1123 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,523,232 X 0.00173 = 9,541 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13030 – 9,541 = 3,489 or 3,489 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

13,030 ÷ 9,541 = 1.3578 or an increase of 36%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.