2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 30-34 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 30-34 in Georgia

1. 470 of 470 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 36% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 342 of 342 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 128 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 655 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 36% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 470 of 391,250 women aged 30-34 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

470 ÷ 391,250 = 0.00120 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,430 deaths from All Causes among 5,062,099 women aged 30-34 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,430 ÷ 5,062,099 = 0.00088 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

391,250 X 0.00088 = 342 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

470 – 342 = 128

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

470 ÷ 342 = 1.3572

This reveals 128 lives lost and is 135.72% of what we expected (an increase of 36%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,755 ÷ 2,545,843 = 0.00108 (5-yr CDR)

391,250(2022 pop) X 0.00108 = 423 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

470 – 423 = 47 or 47 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

470 ÷ 423 = 1.0999 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,937,093 X 0.00088 = 2,570 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3225 – 2,570 = 655 or 655 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,225 ÷ 2,570 = 1.2405 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.