2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 25-29 | Illinois, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in Illinois

1. 1,127 of 1,127 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 47% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 760 of 760 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 367 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,315 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 47% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,127 of 836,897 people aged 25-29 living in Illinois died from All Causes.

1,127 ÷ 836,897 = 0.00135 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 12,054 deaths from All Causes among 13,276,484 people aged 25-29 living in Illinois in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

12,054 ÷ 13,276,484 = 0.00091 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

836,897 X 0.00091 = 760 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,127 – 760 = 367

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,127 ÷ 760 = 1.4671

This reveals 367 lives lost and is 146.71% of what we expected (an increase of 47%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

7,597 ÷ 6,222,095 = 0.00122 (5-yr CDR)

836,897(2022 pop) X 0.00122 = 1,022 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,127 – 1,022 = 105 or 105 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,127 ÷ 1,022 = 1.0940 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,058,992 X 0.00091 = 6,409 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8724 – 6,409 = 2,315 or 2,315 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

8,724 ÷ 6,409 = 1.3464 or an increase of 35%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Illinois in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.