2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in Illinois
52,094 of 52,094 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
50,902 of 50,902 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
1,192 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
23,185 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80+ | Illinois, United-states
Populalation – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80+ – [2000-2022] | Illinois, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 52,094 of 250,017 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Illinois died from All Causes.
52,094 ÷ 250,017 = 0.20836 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Illinois elderly men and women aged 80+ All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
218,799
46,159
46,159
|2001
224,395
45,807
45,807
|2002
228,489
47,280
47,280
|2003
231,567
47,227
47,227
|2004
235,573
46,391
46,391
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
237,858
47,814
47,814
|2006
237,652
47,103
47,103
|2007
237,865
46,204
46,204
|2008
237,298
48,111
48,111
|2009
235,236
46,003
46,003
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
235,381
46,799
46,799
|2011
235,548
48,221
48,221
|2012
231,678
48,014
48,014
|2013
228,492
48,597
48,597
|2014
225,269
49,005
49,005
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
3,481,100
708,735
708,735
The table shows there were a total of 708,735 deaths from All Causes among 3,481,100 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Illinois in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
708,735 ÷ 3,481,100 = 0.20360 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
250,017 X 0.20360 = 50,902 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
52,094 – 50,902 = 1,192
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
52,094 ÷ 50,902 = 1.0234
This reveals 1,192 lives lost and is 102.34% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
230,767
49,900
49,900
|2018
235,613
49,393
49,393
|2019
241,202
48,806
48,806
|2020
244,247
58,284
58,284
|2021
238,213
51,240
51,240
Total:
1,638,018
355,486
355,486
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
355,486 ÷ 1,638,018 = 0.21702 (5-yr CDR)
250,017(2022 pop) X 0.21702 = 54,259 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
52,094 – 54,259 = -2,165 or 2,165 lives saved
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
52,094 ÷ 54,259 = 0.9601 or a decrease of 4%
for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
1,888,035 X 0.20360 = 384,395 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
407580 – 384,395 = 23,185 or 23,185 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
407,580 ÷ 384,395 = 1.0603 or an increase of 6%
in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Illinois in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
223,689
49,529
49,529
|2016
224,287
48,334
48,334
|2017
230,767
49,900
49,900
|2018
235,613
49,393
49,393
|2019
241,202
48,806
48,806
|2020
244,247
58,284
58,284
|2021
238,213
51,240
51,240
|2022
250,017
52,094
52,094
Total:
1,888,035
407,580
407,580
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
122,953 of the 122,953 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Illinois in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 12,324,939 individuals would have predicted 102,094 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 20,859 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Illinois in 2022.
To date, 98,022 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Illinois.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 20,859 lives and the 8-year loss of 98,022 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 715 of the 122,953 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 715 total deaths in this group.
This is down 26% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 131,093 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 962 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 247 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 6,776 deaths from All Causes represent 1,716 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 247 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 6776 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 715 / 122,953
The next 148 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.99% of the 148 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 549,248 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 148 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 more deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 1,049 deaths from All Causes represent 239 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 more and the 8 year total of 1,049 more individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 863 / 122,953
The next 87 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.99% of the 87 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 747,100 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 91 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 4 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 679 deaths from All Causes represent 84 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 4 fewer and the 8 year total of 679 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 950 / 122,953
The next 135 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.99% of the 135 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 790,620 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 123 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 12 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 995 deaths from All Causes represent 19 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 12 more and the 8 year total of 995 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,085 / 122,953
The next 501 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 100.00% of the 501 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 821,799 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 477 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 24 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 3,774 deaths from All Causes represent 89 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 24 more and the 8 year total of 3,774 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,586 / 122,953
The next 833 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 833 total deaths in this group.
This is up 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 850,012 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 776 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 57 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 6,800 deaths from All Causes represent 586 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 57 more and the 8 year total of 6,800 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,419 / 122,953
The next 1,127 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,127 total deaths in this group.
This is up 47% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 836,897 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 760 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 367 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 8,724 deaths from All Causes represent 2,315 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 367 more and the 8 year total of 8,724 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,546 / 122,953
The next 1,531 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,531 total deaths in this group.
This is up 72% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 859,855 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 883 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 648 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 10,004 deaths from All Causes represent 2,870 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 648 more and the 8 year total of 10,004 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,077 / 122,953
The next 1,748 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,748 total deaths in this group.
This is up 52% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 841,980 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 1,144 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 604 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 11,739 deaths from All Causes represent 2,514 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 604 more and the 8 year total of 11,739 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 6,825 / 122,953
The next 2,082 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,082 total deaths in this group.
This is up 22% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 825,961 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 1,694 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 388 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 14,107 deaths from All Causes represent 922 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 388 more and the 8 year total of 14,107 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 8,907 / 122,953
The next 2,684 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,684 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 759,603 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 2,429 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 255 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 20,411 deaths from All Causes represent 202 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 255 more and the 8 year total of 20,411 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 11,591 / 122,953
The next 3,966 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,966 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 798,261 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 3,846 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 120 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 31,635 deaths from All Causes represent 362 lives saved among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 120 more and the 8 year total of 31,635 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 15,557 / 122,953
The next 6,202 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 6,202 total deaths in this group.
This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 799,304 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 5,716 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 486 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 50,560 deaths from All Causes represent 1,674 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 486 more and the 8 year total of 50,560 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 21,759 / 122,953
The next 9,376 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 9,376 total deaths in this group.
This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 807,002 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 8,678 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 698 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 69,286 deaths from All Causes represent 1,015 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 698 more and the 8 year total of 69,286 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 31,135 / 122,953
The next 11,468 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 11,468 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 702,385 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 11,544 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 76 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 81,895 deaths from All Causes represent 4,760 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 76 fewer and the 8 year total of 81,895 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 42,603 / 122,953
The next 13,436 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 13,436 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 558,878 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 14,495 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,059 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 93,642 deaths from All Causes represent 10,293 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,059 fewer and the 8 year total of 93,642 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 56,039 / 122,953
The next 14,820 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 14,820 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 394,924 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 16,071 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,251 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 103,699 deaths from All Causes represent 9,732 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,251 fewer and the 8 year total of 103,699 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 70,859 / 122,953
The next 15,524 of the 122,953 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 15,524 total deaths in this group.
This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 250,017 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 16,449 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 925 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 115,035 deaths from All Causes represent 9,184 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 925 fewer and the 8 year total of 115,035 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 86,383 / 122,953
The next 52,094 of the 122,953 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 52,094 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 250,017 would have predicted 50,902 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,192 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Illinois in 2022.
Overall, 407,580 deaths from All Causes represent 23,185 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Illinois's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 407,580 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 138,477 / 122,953*
* Illinois does not report the deaths of 15,524 babies in it's death totals