2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 25-29 | Illinois, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 25-29 in Illinois

1. 321 of 321 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 56% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 201 of 201 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 120 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 534 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 56% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 321 of 411,764 women aged 25-29 living in Illinois died from All Causes.

321 ÷ 411,764 = 0.00078 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,221 deaths from All Causes among 6,583,323 women aged 25-29 living in Illinois in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,221 ÷ 6,583,323 = 0.00049 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

411,764 X 0.00049 = 201 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

321 – 201 = 120

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

321 ÷ 201 = 1.5614

This reveals 120 lives lost and is 156.14% of what we expected (an increase of 56%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,918 ÷ 3,072,842 = 0.00062 (5-yr CDR)

411,764(2022 pop) X 0.00062 = 257 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

321 – 257 = 64 or 64 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

321 ÷ 257 = 1.2293 or an increase of 23%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,484,606 X 0.00049 = 1,705 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2239 – 1,705 = 534 or 534 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,239 ÷ 1,705 = 1.2870 or an increase of 29%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in Illinois in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.