2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Illinois, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Illinois

1. 63,753 of 63,753 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 50,028 of 50,028 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 13,725 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 67,862 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 63,753 of 6,142,581 men of all ages living in Illinois died from All Causes.

63,753 ÷ 6,142,581 = 0.01038 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 752,417 deaths from All Causes among 92,384,105 men of all ages living in Illinois in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

752,417 ÷ 92,384,105 = 0.00814 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

6,142,581 X 0.00814 = 50,028 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

63,753 – 50,028 = 13,725

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

63,753 ÷ 50,028 = 1.2728

This reveals 13,725 lives lost and is 127.28% of what we expected (an increase of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

406,141 ÷ 43,220,185 = 0.00940 (5-yr CDR)

6,142,581(2022 pop) X 0.00940 = 57,722 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

63,753 – 57,722 = 6,031 or 6,031 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

63,753 ÷ 57,722 = 1.1033 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

49,362,766 X 0.00814 = 402,032 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

469894 – 402,032 = 67,862 or 67,862 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

469,894 ÷ 402,032 = 1.1674 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Illinois in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.