2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 25-29 | Kentucky, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in Kentucky

1. 497 of 497 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 387 of 387 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 110 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 814 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 497 of 292,630 people aged 25-29 living in Kentucky died from All Causes.

497 ÷ 292,630 = 0.00170 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,513 deaths from All Causes among 4,167,975 people aged 25-29 living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,513 ÷ 4,167,975 = 0.00132 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

292,630 X 0.00132 = 387 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

497 – 387 = 110

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

497 ÷ 387 = 1.2744

This reveals 110 lives lost and is 127.44% of what we expected (an increase of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,497 ÷ 2,111,359 = 0.00166 (5-yr CDR)

292,630(2022 pop) X 0.00166 = 485 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

497 – 485 = 12 or 12 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

497 ÷ 485 = 1.0193 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,403,989 X 0.00132 = 3,180 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3994 – 3,180 = 814 or 814 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,994 ÷ 3,180 = 1.2466 or an increase of 25%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.