2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in Kentucky
1,519 of 1,519 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates.
1,162 of 1,162 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
357 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
1,867 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 30% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 45-49 | Kentucky, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,519 of 268,320 people aged 45-49 living in Kentucky died from All Causes.
1,519 ÷ 268,320 = 0.00566 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Kentucky male aged 45-49 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
293,976
1,139
1,139
|2001
300,584
1,235
1,235
|2002
307,095
1,255
1,255
|2003
314,054
1,325
1,325
|2004
317,466
1,374
1,374
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
320,751
1,349
1,349
|2006
324,805
1,393
1,393
|2007
324,881
1,310
1,310
|2008
324,724
1,447
1,447
|2009
324,971
1,453
1,453
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
323,642
1,516
1,516
|2011
314,960
1,464
1,464
|2012
306,308
1,418
1,418
|2013
299,095
1,294
1,294
|2014
291,579
1,336
1,336
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
4,688,891
20,308
20,308
The table shows there were a total of 20,308 deaths from All Causes among 4,688,891 people aged 45-49 living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
20,308 ÷ 4,688,891 = 0.00433 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
268,320 X 0.00433 = 1,162 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
1,519 – 1,162 = 357
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
1,519 ÷ 1,162 = 1.3041
This reveals 357 lives lost and is 130.41% of what we expected (an increase of 30%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
288,769
1,377
1,377
|2018
285,632
1,362
1,362
|2019
280,688
1,276
1,276
|2020
275,000
1,526
1,526
|2021
270,922
1,758
1,758
Total:
1,978,116
10,078
10,078
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
10,078 ÷ 1,978,116 = 0.00509 (5-yr CDR)
268,320(2022 pop) X 0.00509 = 1,367 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
1,519 – 1,367 = 152 or 152 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
1,519 ÷ 1,367 = 1.1090 or an increase of 11%
for deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
2,246,436 X 0.00433 = 9,730 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
11597 – 9,730 = 1,867 or 1,867 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
11,597 ÷ 9,730 = 1.1892 or an increase of 19%
in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
287,996
1,386
1,386
|2016
289,109
1,393
1,393
|2017
288,769
1,377
1,377
|2018
285,632
1,362
1,362
|2019
280,688
1,276
1,276
|2020
275,000
1,526
1,526
|2021
270,922
1,758
1,758
|2022
268,320
1,519
1,519
Total:
2,246,436
11,597
11,597
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
57,049 of the 57,049 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 4,433,642 individuals would have predicted 43,803 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 13,246 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022.
To date, 66,561 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Kentucky.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 13,246 lives and the 8-year loss of 66,561 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 302 of the 57,049 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 302 total deaths in this group.
This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 52,123 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 362 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 60 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 2,635 deaths from All Causes represent 328 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 60 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 2635 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 302 / 57,049
The next 88 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.99% of the 88 total deaths in this group.
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 210,590 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 71 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 17 more deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 511 deaths from All Causes represent 80 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 17 more and the 8 year total of 511 more individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 390 / 57,049
The next 40 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.98% of the 40 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 277,665 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 43 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 327 deaths from All Causes represent 17 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 fewer and the 8 year total of 327 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 430 / 57,049
The next 62 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.98% of the 62 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 286,085 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 57 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 454 deaths from All Causes represent 4 lives lost among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 more and the 8 year total of 454 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 492 / 57,049
The next 198 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.99% of the 198 total deaths in this group.
This is up 0% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 287,015 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 195 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 1,530 deaths from All Causes represent 36 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 more and the 8 year total of 1,530 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 690 / 57,049
The next 347 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 347 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 308,953 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 329 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 18 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 2,842 deaths from All Causes represent 262 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 18 more and the 8 year total of 2,842 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,037 / 57,049
The next 497 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 497 total deaths in this group.
This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 292,630 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 387 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 110 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 3,994 deaths from All Causes represent 814 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 110 more and the 8 year total of 3,994 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,534 / 57,049
The next 737 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 737 total deaths in this group.
This is up 53% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 299,923 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 478 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 259 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 5,294 deaths from All Causes represent 1,682 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 259 more and the 8 year total of 5,294 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,271 / 57,049
The next 1,001 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,001 total deaths in this group.
This is up 77% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 277,426 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 564 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 437 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 6,852 deaths from All Causes represent 2,300 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 437 more and the 8 year total of 6,852 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,272 / 57,049
The next 1,285 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,285 total deaths in this group.
This is up 53% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 284,568 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 836 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 449 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 8,428 deaths from All Causes represent 1,959 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 449 more and the 8 year total of 8,428 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,557 / 57,049
The next 1,519 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,519 total deaths in this group.
This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 268,320 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 1,162 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 357 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 11,597 deaths from All Causes represent 1,867 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 357 more and the 8 year total of 11,597 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 6,076 / 57,049
The next 2,243 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,243 total deaths in this group.
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 286,484 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 1,821 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 422 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 17,919 deaths from All Causes represent 2,982 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 422 more and the 8 year total of 17,919 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 8,319 / 57,049
The next 3,412 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,412 total deaths in this group.
This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 292,691 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 2,682 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 730 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 26,935 deaths from All Causes represent 4,551 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 730 more and the 8 year total of 26,935 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 11,731 / 57,049
The next 4,922 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,922 total deaths in this group.
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 294,830 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 4,010 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 912 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 35,409 deaths from All Causes represent 4,056 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 912 more and the 8 year total of 35,409 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 16,653 / 57,049
The next 5,960 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 5,960 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 262,473 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 5,436 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 524 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 41,565 deaths from All Causes represent 311 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 524 more and the 8 year total of 41,565 more individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 22,613 / 57,049
The next 6,891 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 6,891 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 214,250 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 6,719 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 172 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 47,747 deaths from All Causes represent 623 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 172 more and the 8 year total of 47,747 more individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 29,504 / 57,049
The next 7,499 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 7,499 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 148,352 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 7,165 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 334 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 50,410 deaths from All Causes represent 269 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 334 more and the 8 year total of 50,410 more individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 37,003 / 57,049
The next 7,292 of the 57,049 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 7,292 total deaths in this group.
This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 89,264 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 6,781 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 511 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 50,540 deaths from All Causes represent 685 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 511 more and the 8 year total of 50,540 more individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 44,295 / 57,049
The next 20,046 of the 57,049 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 20,046 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 89,264 would have predicted 19,023 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,023 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Kentucky in 2022.
Overall, 149,077 deaths from All Causes represent 5,374 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Kentucky's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 149,077 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 64,341 / 57,049*
* Kentucky does not report the deaths of 7,292 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Male - Aged 45-49 - [2000-2022] | Kentucky, United-states](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/united-states/kentucky/2022/all/Both Sexes/45-49-pop.png)
