2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Kentucky, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Kentucky

1. 5,960 of 5,960 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,436 of 5,436 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 524 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 311 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,960 of 262,473 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kentucky died from All Causes.

5,960 ÷ 262,473 = 0.02271 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 54,030 deaths from All Causes among 2,608,669 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

54,030 ÷ 2,608,669 = 0.02071 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

262,473 X 0.02071 = 5,436 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,960 – 5,436 = 524

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,960 ÷ 5,436 = 1.0958

This reveals 524 lives lost and is 109.58% of what we expected (an increase of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

35,605 ÷ 1,729,347 = 0.02059 (5-yr CDR)

262,473(2022 pop) X 0.02059 = 5,404 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,960 – 5,404 = 556 or 556 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,960 ÷ 5,404 = 1.1024 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,991,820 X 0.02071 = 41,254 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

41565 – 41,254 = 311 or 311 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

41,565 ÷ 41,254 = 1.0071 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.