2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 60-64 | Louisiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in Louisiana

1. 1,859 of 1,859 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 13% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,647 of 1,647 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 212 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 650 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 13% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,859 of 152,898 women aged 60-64 living in Louisiana died from All Causes.

1,859 ÷ 152,898 = 0.01216 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 18,449 deaths from All Causes among 1,712,923 women aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

18,449 ÷ 1,712,923 = 0.01077 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

152,898 X 0.01077 = 1,647 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,859 – 1,647 = 212

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,859 ÷ 1,647 = 1.1278

This reveals 212 lives lost and is 112.78% of what we expected (an increase of 13%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

11,954 ÷ 1,069,255 = 0.01118 (5-yr CDR)

152,898(2022 pop) X 0.01118 = 1,709 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,859 – 1,709 = 150 or 150 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,859 ÷ 1,709 = 1.0866 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,222,153 X 0.01077 = 13,163 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13813 – 13,163 = 650 or 650 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

13,813 ÷ 13,163 = 1.0484 or an increase of 5%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.