2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 40-44 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 40-44 in Maryland

1. 680 of 680 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 579 of 579 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 101 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 366 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 680 of 201,457 men aged 40-44 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

680 ÷ 201,457 = 0.00338 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 9,127 deaths from All Causes among 3,176,170 men aged 40-44 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,127 ÷ 3,176,170 = 0.00287 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

201,457 X 0.00287 = 579 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

680 – 579 = 101

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

680 ÷ 579 = 1.1706

This reveals 101 lives lost and is 117.06% of what we expected (an increase of 17%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,954 ÷ 1,283,679 = 0.00308 (5-yr CDR)

201,457(2022 pop) X 0.00308 = 621 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

680 – 621 = 59 or 59 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

680 ÷ 621 = 1.0923 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,485,136 X 0.00287 = 4,268 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4634 – 4,268 = 366 or 366 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,634 ÷ 4,268 = 1.0821 or an increase of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.