2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 75-79 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in Maryland

1. 3,509 of 3,509 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,171 of 4,171 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 662 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,869 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,509 of 85,346 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

3,509 ÷ 85,346 = 0.04111 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 39,303 deaths from All Causes among 804,302 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

39,303 ÷ 804,302 = 0.04887 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

85,346 X 0.04887 = 4,171 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,509 – 4,171 = -662

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,509 ÷ 4,171 = 0.8412

This reveals 662 lives saved and is 84.12% of what we expected (a decrease of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

20,682 ÷ 488,875 = 0.04231 (5-yr CDR)

85,346(2022 pop) X 0.04231 = 3,611 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,509 – 3,611 = -102 or 102 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,509 ÷ 3,611 = 0.9716 or a decrease of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

574,221 X 0.04887 = 28,060 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

24191 – 28,060 = -3,869 or 3,869 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

24,191 ÷ 28,060 = 0.8619 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.