2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in Maryland

1. 1,503 of 6,838 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 21.98% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,752 of 7,922 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 249 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,084 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,094 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 6,933 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Maryland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,503 of 195,518 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland died from Unknown Causes.

1,503 ÷ 195,518 = 0.00769 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 17,219 deaths from Unknown Causes among 1,921,686 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

17,219 ÷ 1,921,686 = 0.00896 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

195,518 X 0.00896 = 1,752 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,503 – 1,752 = -249

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,503 ÷ 1,752 = 0.8570

This reveals 249 lives saved and is 85.70% of what we expected (a decrease of 14%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,223 ÷ 1,123,626 = 0.00821 (5-yr CDR)

195,518(2022 pop) X 0.00821 = 1,605 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,503 – 1,605 = -102 or 102 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,503 ÷ 1,605 = 0.9354 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,319,144 X 0.00896 = 11,820 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10726 – 11,820 = -1,094 or 1,094 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,726 ÷ 11,820 = 0.9064 or a decrease of 9%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.