2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 65-69 | Massachusetts, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 65-69 in Massachusetts

1. 2,112 of 2,112 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,431 of 2,431 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 319 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,888 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 13% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,112 of 213,035 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts died from All Causes.

2,112 ÷ 213,035 = 0.00991 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 22,740 deaths from All Causes among 1,992,860 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

22,740 ÷ 1,992,860 = 0.01141 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

213,035 X 0.01141 = 2,431 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,112 – 2,431 = -319

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,112 ÷ 2,431 = 0.8681

This reveals 319 lives saved and is 86.81% of what we expected (a decrease of 13%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

13,155 ÷ 1,378,033 = 0.00955 (5-yr CDR)

213,035(2022 pop) X 0.00955 = 2,034 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,112 – 2,034 = 78 or 78 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,112 ÷ 2,034 = 1.0374 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,591,068 X 0.01141 = 18,155 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15267 – 18,155 = -2,888 or 2,888 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

15,267 ÷ 18,155 = 0.8402 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Massachusetts in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.