2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 25-29 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in New York

1. 1,374 of 1,374 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 36% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 994 of 994 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 380 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,237 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 36% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,374 of 1,354,760 people aged 25-29 living in New York died from All Causes.

1,374 ÷ 1,354,760 = 0.00101 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 14,855 deaths from All Causes among 20,240,701 people aged 25-29 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

14,855 ÷ 20,240,701 = 0.00073 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,354,760 X 0.00073 = 994 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,374 – 994 = 380

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,374 ÷ 994 = 1.3633

This reveals 380 lives lost and is 136.33% of what we expected (an increase of 36%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,404 ÷ 10,282,447 = 0.00091 (5-yr CDR)

1,354,760(2022 pop) X 0.00091 = 1,239 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,374 – 1,239 = 135 or 135 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,374 ÷ 1,239 = 1.0969 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,637,207 X 0.00073 = 8,541 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10778 – 8,541 = 2,237 or 2,237 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,778 ÷ 8,541 = 1.2450 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.