2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in New York

1. 1,933 of 1,933 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 54% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,240 of 1,240 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 693 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,345 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 54% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,933 of 1,412,771 people aged 30-34 living in New York died from All Causes.

1,933 ÷ 1,412,771 = 0.00137 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 17,481 deaths from All Causes among 19,908,858 people aged 30-34 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

17,481 ÷ 19,908,858 = 0.00088 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,412,771 X 0.00088 = 1,240 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,933 – 1,240 = 693

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,933 ÷ 1,240 = 1.5407

This reveals 693 lives lost and is 154.07% of what we expected (an increase of 54%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

11,270 ÷ 9,814,243 = 0.00115 (5-yr CDR)

1,412,771(2022 pop) X 0.00115 = 1,622 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,933 – 1,622 = 311 or 311 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,933 ÷ 1,622 = 1.1812 or an increase of 18%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,227,014 X 0.00088 = 9,858 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13203 – 9,858 = 3,345 or 3,345 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

13,203 ÷ 9,858 = 1.3243 or an increase of 32%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.